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Analysis

Why the 2022 IndyCar title fight is Penske vs Ganassi yet again

There have been wins, poles and promise from others, but the 2022 IndyCar Series championship battle has distilled down to a fight between old rivals Team Penske and Chip Ganassi Racing once more. A principal from each explains what has elevated their teams beyond other rivals ahead of the final three races

Alexander Rossi, Andretti Autosport Honda, Will Power, Team Penske Chevrolet, Scott Dixon, Chip Ganassi Racing Honda, podium

Alexander Rossi, Andretti Autosport Honda, Will Power, Team Penske Chevrolet, Scott Dixon, Chip Ganassi Racing Honda, podium

Michael L. Levitt / Motorsport Images

For three years, this writer has been predicting that Arrow McLaren SP is going to turn IndyCar’s Big Three into a Big Four. Indeed, AMSP and Andretti Autosport are worthy occupants of third and fourth place, in either order. Colton Herta (Andretti) and Pato O’Ward (AMSP) finished third and fourth in the championship in 2020, and fifth and third in 2021.

But 2022 suggests that in fact IndyCar comprises a Big Two – Chip Ganassi Racing and Team Penske – followed by the Next Two, Andretti and McLaren. On their best days, Andretti and AMSP can beat The Captain’s crew and Chip’s chargers to the summits, but in between these peaks are vast barren plains, when only Penske and Ganassi find fertile ground.

Considering the quality of the driver/race engineer combinations at Arrow McLaren and Andretti, there are clearly bigger factors that define the top tier from the second in the chase for IndyCar’s Astor Cup.

So while Andretti driver (and soon to be ASMP racer) Alexander Rossi in 2018 and 2019, then Herta and O’Ward in the past two years have appeared capable of helping their teams start prizing the title from the grasp of the Ganassi and Penske hordes, the latter group have kicked them away. And then kicked again.

The top six drivers in the 2022 championship with three rounds to go are Will Power, Scott Dixon, Marcus Ericsson, Josef Newgarden, Alex Palou and Scott McLaughlin – Penske-Ganassi-Ganassi-Penske-Ganassi-Penske.

So what has prompted this shift? We heard from both camps – Penske managing director Ron Ruzewski and Ganassi managing director Mike Hull – for their verdicts.

The Penske perspective

Will Power leads the points heading into the final throes of the season

Will Power leads the points heading into the final throes of the season

Photo by: Jake Galstad / Motorsport Images

After Team Penske failed to muster a win in the first nine races of 2021, two-time champion Newgarden remained insistent that the team had been a victim of circumstances, that he saw “nothing truly missing” when assessing the squad’s competitiveness. When the dam broke and Newgarden dominated the Mid-Ohio race, he went on to finish second in the championship, after he and Power added two more wins. But still, that winless first half of the season rankled within Penske – the absolute nadir was its qualifying performance at the Indianapolis 500, of course – and so it dug deep to make amends in 2022.

It's now a three-car team, having elected not to replace its departing 2016 champion Simon Pagenaud. Ruzewski, who also calls strategy for Power, tells Autosport: “If I look back on 2021, Will’s pace was good and obviously Josef was in the championship hunt, but that was balanced by Scotty [McLaughlin] being a rookie and Simon being a big question mark.

“In the races, for various reasons, a lot of things just didn’t go our way, be it strategies and cautions, a couple of reliability issues, and so on. It’s not as if in 2021 we were completely lost or took too long to come up to speed: we still got five poles and three wins.”

Ruzewski’s assessment sounds very similar to Newgarden’s at the time – the stats belied Penske’s potential. However, he can’t deny the team’s stepped up this year.

"Although we still weren’t stellar in May [at IMS], I’ve done the stats and we increased the average speed of our cars by over 2mph from last year to this" Ron Ruzewski

“Did we recognise there were still things to polish up? Yes, 100%, and so absolutely we have improved this year,” he says. “First and foremost, was Indianapolis. We learned a lot, because we acknowledged a large portion of where we went wrong in 2021.

“Now in 2022, the interesting thing is that although we still weren’t stellar in May, I’ve done the stats and we increased the average speed of our cars by over 2mph from last year to this. Unfortunately, Carpenter [Ed Carpenter Racing] and Ganassi improved their cars by 0.7-1mph so we still didn’t match them, but we made significant gains, and arguably the Andretti and Rahal teams went back by 2mph.

“Last year – basically from June, through the rest of the season and through the off-season – our focus was on Indianapolis, but in doing that, we tightened up all of our other areas, too. When our Porsche sportscar programme started, we had some people – Jonathan Diuguid [McLaughlin’s 2021 race engineer] among others – exit the IndyCar programme and we went down to three IndyCars, but we promoted some people from within, hired some new people to fill some voids, and we put an added effort into engineering to grow from within and reallocate some of our resources.

Insight: The new prototype that Porsche hopes will become its latest legend

Penske has worked hard to compensate for reshuffling caused by its impending Porsche 963 programme

Penske has worked hard to compensate for reshuffling caused by its impending Porsche 963 programme

Photo by: Phillip Abbott / Motorsport Images

“I would love to tell you there was one thing that has helped us this year deliver the results that our pace has promised, but it was actually a culmination of a lot of little things. And the good news is that we’re just starting to hit our stride now. If you put people in new roles within the team and also bring in new people, then getting them all fully comfortable and coordinated isn’t something that happens overnight.

“But now I think we’ve got to that point where we’re seeing the difference those potential improvements pay off. Some of the recent IndyCar races, where I do feel like we’ve been the dominant team, is us hitting our stride, and I believe we can keep building on that and carry our momentum as a team.”

As well as technical staff moving across to learn, test, tend and fettle the gorgeous new Porsche 963, the Penske’s IndyCar team also suffered a couple of significant losses last winter. Gavin Ward, Newgarden’s race engineer between 2018-2021, departed for Arrow McLaren SP, while Pagenaud joined Meyer Shank Racing, a team that has a technical alliance with Andretti Autosport. In other words, two highly intelligent and diligent champions went off to feed Penske learning into two of Penske’s strongest rivals.

“Yeah, that’s always a concern,” agrees Ruzewski, “because you can’t make them un-learn. Unfortunately I don’t have that Men in Black pen-camera to erase their memories! So when they leave, that’s a disappointment, but at the same time you’re always aware that’s a possibility.

“However, that can’t stop you from always having an open book with your drivers and your personnel to get the most out of them, because as soon as you’re guarded, the situation becomes unproductive, so you can’t let the chance of someone leaving the team affect how you all work together.

“That said, if you had the means to get a dozen set-up sheets from the various teams, you would probably find more commonalities than differences in most cases, so then you have to ask yourself, ‘Well why’s this team performing well and this one isn’t performing so well?’

“It’s obvious that set-ups and technical knowledge alone aren’t the only differences between the teams: as anyone will tell you, racing success is very much about the complete package. For instance, you’ll have seen people leave Carpenter to join another team, and those teams aren’t now fighting for pole at Indy but Ed’s team still is.

“So it’s not just about set-ups, and it’s also not just about buying a bunch of high-quality individuals and expecting them to immediately click as a team. You have to build a team and build a culture and mindset around it.

Ruzewski (right) joins Penske president Tim Cindric, boss Roger Penske and its three drivers after Newgarden 
scored Team Penske's 600th win across all categories at Texas

Ruzewski (right) joins Penske president Tim Cindric, boss Roger Penske and its three drivers after Newgarden scored Team Penske's 600th win across all categories at Texas

Photo by: Phillip Abbott / Motorsport Images

“And then there are things that are different from team to team. Damper programmes are one of the things that do differentiate teams, and we do the time and we do have a lot of knowledge in that area. Is ours better than others? Everyone has their own thoughts on it, but you develop your packages around something. So what might work on our cars might not work on another team’s cars.

“So, as much as it concerns me when someone leaves and takes knowledge to another team, it more concerns me that we spend a lot of time developing processes, and when people leave here, they start similar processes at other places. It’s both flattering and upsetting – but it’s also inevitable.”

"I feel our team’s strength is that in the technical group there are no big egos. That has been my focus as team manager – to help foster that build-up into a cohesive group"Ron Ruzewski

Heading into these last three races, with Power and Newgarden lying first and fourth in the points standings, separated by 22 points and two Ganassi drivers, Ruzewski sounds confident but not cocky about Team Penske’s chances.

“I feel our team’s strength is that in the technical group there are no big egos,” he says. “That has been my focus as team manager – to help foster that build-up into a cohesive group.

“I think Chevrolet has made huge strides, too, and they have been trying very diligently. [Ilmor’s] Andy Gryczan is super-passionate and super-driven and he was taking us in a good direction, and then the addition of Ray Gosselin gave Andy the tools he needed to focus on getting the integration right between the teams and Chevrolet. It was a pleasant surprise how polished a product they delivered to us.”

Even were Penske drivers to finish 1-2-3 in the championship – a huge ‘if’ considering 150-plus points are on offer, and there are three Ganassi drivers within 33 points of top spot – Ruzewski admits Penske would still be left collectively with an itch to scratch in 2022.

“That would be an amazingly satisfying season, but there will still be an undertone of ‘We need to do better at Indy,’” he says. “Our expectations are so high and that place is so special… If we look back at the years when we won Indy and the championship, those are the years that give most satisfaction.

“But I really think we’ve had cars that can win at almost every race this year, sometimes potentially dominant, especially in the races since June. So it would be nice to see that rewarded with a championship.”

The Ganassi angle

Dixon's victory on the streets of Nashville has thrust him back up to second in the points

Dixon's victory on the streets of Nashville has thrust him back up to second in the points

Photo by: Gavin Baker / Motorsport Images

Ganassi’s drivers have won the last two championships, and three of the last four. Following his remarkable Indy 500 triumph, Ericsson led the points table for several rounds, but Ganassi’s traditionally strong championship performance that sees Dixon, Ericsson and Palou in second, third and fifth in the title race has been less overt in 2022 than Penske. CGR has scored three wins to Penske’s seven, 11 podiums to Penske’s 16.

However, you don’t have to dig too much deeper to understand why, despite these apparent deficits, CGR remains so strong in this fight: it’s been about maximising what they have and minimising bad days, a point that has been drilled into its drivers, race engineers, strategists and crews for decades

Power has finished in the top four at 10 of the 14 events held so far this season, but has also had four results outside the top 10, three of which 15th or lower. By contrast, Dixon has enjoyed only four top-four finishes, but two of those have been wins and he has finished outside the top 10 only once. Aside from his 1mph pitlane transgression at Indy, which dropped him from victory contention to 21st, it's been a classic Dixon campaign - a different kind of consistency to Power’s, but no less effective for it.

Ask Hull – also Dixon’s ace strategist – why IndyCar’s title battle has reverted to IndyCar’s two legendary teams slugging it out once again, and he hesitates to directly criticise either Andretti or McLaren.

“What makes teams good in any form of motorsport is how well prepared they are for the meat of the season,” he says. “It takes a certain effort by everyone in your building, including all those who you don’t see at the racetrack, to help prepare your cars. And it takes a lot of personnel planning, logistical planning, parts preparation and advance planning – a lot of forecasting – to prepare for those back-to-back race weekends that we have soon after the enormous mental and physical efforts that go into the Indianapolis 500.

“The 500 wears a lot of people out, it can wear out your spare parts, your delivery system, and so on. I think that teams with very experienced personnel are better able to deal with that – albeit still with their tongues hanging out! – because they understand how to operate without any loss of performance, post-Indy. It’s not that Andretti or McLaren aren’t ready for that, but…”

Hull leaves the sentence hanging. No need to complete it; the stats bear him out. Andretti Autosport has taken three of its six Indy wins in the last decade, during which it hasn't won any championships. In that same time frame, Ganassi has acquired five titles, but Ericsson’s triumph in May was CGR’s first 500 win since 2012. As for AMSP, it finished second and fourth at Indy this year but is still evolving, still too young (in McLaren’s current form) to have triumphed in either the 500 or the title race.

Ganassi has expanded its operations into IMSA and Extreme E, while running four cars - Hull praises its staff's dedication and flexibility

Ganassi has expanded its operations into IMSA and Extreme E, while running four cars - Hull praises its staff's dedication and flexibility

Photo by: Gregg Feistman / Motorsport Images

“You say it’s three vs. three at the top of the championship table, but it used to be two and two, or even one and one,” observes Hull. “That just shows the level of preparation required and the level of manpower at these teams have ramped up considerably. I know at Chip Ganassi Racing we work hard to be ready for any eventuality, and try to always understand cause and effect and help that guide us in predicting what to do next.”

While Penske has had to apply a lot of human resources to its Porsche prototype project, that’s still nascent: you could argue that Ganassi’s task has been harder. CGR dived into IMSA SportsCar Championship last year with a Cadillac DPi-V.R, expanded this year to two entries, and simultaneously is developing Caddy’s LMDh/GTP car for IMSA and Le Mans 24 Hour campaigns in 2023. There’s the Extreme E series, too. Oh, and of course it has retained a four-car line-up in IndyCar. So much for that crisis in finding top-quality staff to operate all these cars: from the outside it appears the mighty Ganassi operation has hardly skipped a beat.

“Oh, we have,” corrects Hull immediately. “Internally, we had our personnel issues, no question about it. We’ve had issues with personal crises, health and sickness, COVID, and so on, but we’ve managed. But we have people who are willing to work in more than one direction when asked. At times we’ve brought people back on the road who haven’t been there in a while, moved people internally when we’ve had to.

“I think the answer really is that we have very unselfish people working for us who understand how important it is to be team-mates. Like every other company today, not just motorsport, it’s not just about managing people, it’s having people who are prepared to take ownership of their product. We have plenty of people like that in our team and without them we wouldn’t be lucky enough to have achieved what we’ve achieved so far this year.

"We have very unselfish people working for us who understand how important it is to be team-mates. Like every other company today, not just motorsport, it’s not just about managing people, it’s having people who are prepared to take ownership of their product" Mike Hull

“The thing is, if we don’t win, we don’t like it, so we work really, really hard to win, and that attitude starts with the owner and passes right through the system.”

One of several common traits between Ganassi and Penske is that there is a high degree of emphasis on both the Indy 500 and the championship. CGR has had that balance nailed better than anyone for the past three years. Despite having the best cars at the Speedway in 2020 and 2021 (whatever the results show), Ganassi found yet more speed in 2022. Four of its cars qualified in the top six, all looked supremely ‘comfortable’ in race trim and all five led laps – a total of 163 of the 200…

As Ruzewski alluded to above, balancing the emphasis in development between a title run and motorsport’s marquee event isn’t easy, but the philosophy behind it is easy to understand.

As Hull explains: “Chip says it well: He says that if you win the Indy 500 it will change your life, and when a team of people wins the Indy 500 it changes the team’s life and it changes their culture. You’ll have noticed that a driver who has won the Indy 500 and the championship will be introduced in public first as an Indy 500 champion. It’s a huge thing, no question.

Ericsson delivered Ganassi his fifth Indy 500 win after a 10-year wait, the result of painstaking preparation that would allow CGR to compete at the 500 and across the full season

Ericsson delivered Ganassi his fifth Indy 500 win after a 10-year wait, the result of painstaking preparation that would allow CGR to compete at the 500 and across the full season

Photo by: Brett Farmer / Motorsport Images

“We’ve been blessed to win the Indy 500 multiple times [five] and the IndyCar championship multiple times [14] with multiple drivers. And what we had done for a long, long time is put great effort into the Indy 500 and treated it as a very important race, but one that is part of a series of 16 or 17 races.

“Then we watched Penske, right in front of our eyes, create a system internally – we think we understand what they do! – where they had a group of people who worked just on the Indy 500, and a group of people that worked on the rest of the series. We weren’t doing that; we were devoting all our attention to an entire series of races, with the Indy 500 as a very important part of that.

“So a few years ago, after Penske kicked our ass at the Speedway, we decided to restructure ourselves so that we could do both. And it culminated this year with our performance there. I think we’ve proven we can focus on the 500 and the championship.”

We like to talk about how close IndyCar is – 20 cars covered by one second in qualifying, or whatever – and that’s true. From race to race it is amazingly competitive. But over the long haul of the 17-race 2022 championship, there are only two teams in it. Again. And this year, remember, marks the 10th anniversary of anyone other than a Ganassi or Penske driver capturing the IndyCar drivers’ crown.

It’s clear that Andretti Autosport and Arrow McLaren SP require a lot of work to evolve into anything other than occasional winners. And that, in turn, serves to highlight that for now, the third tier and lower remain bit-part players, their triumphs memorable principally for their infrequency.

The likes of Andretti and ASMP still have a way to go to match Penske and Ganassi over a season

The likes of Andretti and ASMP still have a way to go to match Penske and Ganassi over a season

Photo by: Michael L. Levitt / Motorsport Images

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