Ferrari and Mercedes looked neck and neck in testing at Barcelona back in February, and after a difficult start to the season Ferrari must feel the Spanish Grand Prix represents its best chance yet to beat Mercedes in 2016.
Kimi Raikkonen and Nico Rosberg completed qualifying simulations on the soft tyre back in February that were almost impossible to separate. The new Ferrari looked fast, looked set to maybe challenge Mercedes finally, properly, for the world championship.
That challenge hasn't really materialised so far. Mercedes has always held a significant edge at the key moments. When Ferrari had a chance to win by making faster starts in Australia it failed to grasp it; the rest of the time Mercedes has been categorically in charge.