The inside line on San Marino

Factor in the Ferrari performance in the first three races and the fact that Michael Schumacher has won four of the last five San Marino GPs and it is hard to see past another win for the German this weekend. The price, 4-7, reflects that, while Rubens Barrichello is quoted at 9-2.

It is hard to see past anyone in a red car this weekend and even a bet on a Ferrari 1-2 (either way round) will only return you 6-5.

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I suspect it will be asking a lot for any of the top Michelin men to split the Ferraris, but a dual forecast bet (first and second in any order) on Michael /Juan Pablo Montoya is available at 5-1, with Michael/Fernando Alonso a more attractive 12-1. Surely the Spaniard won't have three successive problem qualifying sessions, and remember that Renault will have a useful engine performance step here, reckoned to be worth around 0.25s per lap.

For those patriotic souls cheered by Jenson Button's two podiums, what about the possibility of a Michael/Jenson 1-2 at 16-1?

Toyota also has a new aero package at Imola and, considering the team's 100 per cent reliability record and narrowly missed points scores in Sepang and Bahrain, Olivier Panis at 9-2 for points has to be worth a punt. Team-mate Cristiano da Matta is not so attractive at 7-2.

Elsewhere, a couple of match bets, where you back one driver against another are worth a look. You would pretty much back Gianmaria Bruni as a dead cert to beat Zsolt Baumgartner, which at 1-2, will give you a 50 per cent return on your investment. That's a heck of a lot better than the building society.

The only downside is that reliability is not a given at that end of the grid and if Baumgartner goes further, then you've lost. Still, worth consideration.

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