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Why Monza improves Mercedes' odds against Ferrari

Conventional wisdom suggests Ferrari should repeat its Spa form and win the Italian Grand Prix comfortably, but dig a little deeper and there are several aspects to the Monza circuit that indicate Mercedes has a fighting chance of producing an upset

The Belgian and Italian Grands Prix are, understandably, lumped together when it comes to consideration of form. They run back to back and are both tracks that heavily privilege power, meaning that after victory at Spa Sebastian Vettel and Ferrari go in as clear favourites.

Monza is a step beyond Spa in terms of its power demands, with 70% of the lap spent at full throttle in Italy, compared to 57% in Belgium. Monza also lacks the challenge of balancing low downforce with the kind of twisty second sector that Spa features - and where Mercedes excelled last weekend.

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