Paddy Power: Special offer on Ferrari

Again, the most interesting punts don't involve Michael. Although it's always dangerous betting against him for the pole, a Williams-BMW is a pretty good bet but 15-8 on Montoya doesn't really grab you and if you go for 4-1 on Ralf, you are betting against both Michael and JPM. But, remember that Ralf was better than Juan Pablo here last year and won the race. Odds on 12-1 for a Ralf pole and win are worth a look. Evens on Ralf finishing fourth or better is also worth a thought - you're basically betting on him finishing the race.

Also, given the recent bad blood between Michael and Montoya, how about considering 8-1 on exactly two cars being out of the contest before the end of the opening lap. It's 11-10 on everyone making it around lap one, and 6-4 on one car going out. And even if Michael and JPM leave each other on, there's a good chance of at least a couple of cars beached at one of those Imola chicanes. Have a look at those 'one-lap wonder' odds.

Aerodynamics are important here, the McLarens are stronger in race trim and Kimi Raikkonen is 16-1 to set the fastest lap. A long shot, but good odds.

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