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Dodgy Business: Predicting the formbook

Adrian Newey reckons there may only one or two new winners despite the swingeing rule changes, but Tony Dodgins is hoping this season turns out more like 1983.

Interesting to see Adrian Newey predicting that only one or two F1 teams will do all the winning in 2009. Conventional wisdom decrees that whenever there are swingeing rule changes, performance differentials increase.

You wonder, though, whether all the paraphernalia they have these days - bespoke wind tunnels, CFD, etc, etc, might not reduce that tendency. Newey seems to think not and given the man's area of expertise and track record, I can't think of anyone better qualified to comment.

Newey seems to agree that the 2009 aerodynamic rules represent the most significant year-on-year changes since flat bottoms were suddenly introduced more than a quarter of a century ago, for the '83 season.

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