The Hungaroring is Lewis Hamilton's circuit. He's won there four times in seven attempts and, after outpacing Mercedes team-mate Nico Rosberg in both of Friday's practice sessions, surely only a car problem or bad luck can prevent him from going into the August break with another victory.
That's what the conventional wisdom says, but Friday practice painted a slightly different picture. Yes, Hamilton was the pacesetter over a single lap, more than two-tenths faster than Rosberg, but actually there is every sign that the German can give him a serious run for his money.
Hamilton remains favourite, and for good reason, but it's not a done deal.
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Edd Straw is Editor-in-Chief of Autosport, overseeing both print and digital versions of the brand. Edd has worked for Autosport since joining as a junior reporter in 2002. He became Editor in November 2014, having previously worked as National Editor, News Editor and Grand Prix Editor.
Originally from Guernsey in the Channel Islands, he joined Autosport shortly after graduating from university. He went on to cover a wide range of categories from club motorsport to the World Touring Car Championship and Le Mans to Formula 3 before switching to F1 full-time at the 2008 French Grand Prix. He continues to cover a range of international events in his position as Editor-in-Chief.
In his spare time, he was formerly a club racer whose abilities did not match his enthusiasm in a variety of categories.