The inside line on the US Grand Prix

I happily advised you to pile your money on Michael at Monza knowing that it was a one-off low downforce place and that Ferrari was strong in the aero and engine departments. I think they could be closer than expected at Indy too, but I'd still lean in favour of Williams this time. The odds on Montoya aren't spectacular though and perhaps it's worth having a look at Ralf Schumacher.

Admittedly, this is highly speculative because a) we're not sure about his fitness after missing Monza, and b) it's hard to see how he can win the race. If he is ahead of Montoya you can expect that he will be moved over - all within the rules of course... The best Ralf bet, therefore, is probably the 11-4 on offer for pole position.

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Leaving Italy, McLaren boss Ron Dennis was confident that improvements made to the MP4-17D that did not make a big difference in Monza would pay dividends at Indy and Suzuka. I doubt that Raikkonen can take the pole, but 9-1 is quite generous, with the Finn also at 8-1 for the race. The question you have to ask yourself is: could Schumacher and Montoya get physical with each other and leave the door open for Kimi? A more secure bet might be 13-8 for the podium, with the same price offered for Rubens Barrichello also worth a punt.

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