The inside line on the Italian GP

The recent performances of BMW-Williams and Michelin, with no disrespect to Renault and Fernando Alonso, mean that Juan Pablo Montoya and Ralf Schumacher are short-odds bets at this weekend's Italian Grand Prix. Which is why it's time to start backing the Ferraris

The inside line on the Italian GP

I could be wrong here, but even without the recent Michelin tyre aggravation, Ferrari was expected to be strong at Monza. This is a very different type of circuit to Hungaroring and you only have to look back as far as Silverstone to find a race that Ferrari and Bridgestone won on merit. Monza will be very much more up their alley, as shown by recent testing.

When was the last time you could get 3-1 on Michael Schumacher winning a race that he will arguably start favourite? And what about Rubens at 14-1! Sure, he's the number two in the squad, but Ferrari will be desperate to rob its rivals of a big, fat 10 points this weekend should Schuey not be in a position to win.

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I've just got a hunch that even though things may turn around again in the USA and Japan, this will be a Ferrari/Bridgestone race. Montoya might dispute that - he won here in 2001 - but have the courage of your convictions. Pole position odds of 4-1 for Michael look hugely attractive, and you might like to cover Rubens at 8-1. As a dual forecast bet, a Ferrari 1-2 is on offer at 12-1. Very interesting...

Elsewhere, take a look at the Toyotas for points. The TF103s should be strong in Italy and you will get 2-1 on Ollie Panis and 9-4 on Cristiano da Matta.

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